Het Amerikaanse CDC gaat aanbevelen dat ‘essentiële werknemers’ gevaccineerd worden vóór de 65-plussers, ondanks het feit dat hun *eigen model* laat zien dat dit tot meer sterfgevallen zal leiden.
Waarom? Ze zeggen dat het onethisch is om prioriteit te geven aan ouderen omdat ze niet raciaal divers genoeg zijn. Draad:
This is based on the slide pack below.
This takes for granted that healthcare workers will be first-in-line. The question is whether the next group should be other essential workers, the over-65s or adults with high-risk conditions.https://t.co/r9QDsMZt5E
— David Algonquin (@surplustakes) December 17, 2020
First, Science.
The authors rely on modelling of the deaths prevented by prioritising each of the three groups, for both a "disease-blocking" and an "infection-blocking" vaccine scenario.
— David Algonquin (@surplustakes) December 17, 2020
Despite this, the authors conclude that the "Differences among 3 strategies is minimal" (sic). Each strategy is thus awarded 3 out of 3 marks.
Implementation is considered easier for the elderly than the other two groups, resulting in the scores below: pic.twitter.com/DpQwiu72Rd
— David Algonquin (@surplustakes) December 17, 2020
Other considerations that seem important are:
i) adults with high-risk medical conditions must have been diagnosed which implies that they have access to healthcare (which counts against them)
ii) essential workers are unable to work from homeAdvertisement— David Algonquin (@surplustakes) December 17, 2020
This is translated to a mark of 1/3 in the overall assessment, meaning that Essential Workers pip the elderly to the post by one mark.
What drama! pic.twitter.com/ZPGJaax3Hc
— David Algonquin (@surplustakes) December 17, 2020
This seems to me a clearly wrong decision and is out of line with what the UK, for example, is doing.
I am also sceptical of the modelling results given the vastly greater risks faced by the elderly (the below graph showing this is also from the report). pic.twitter.com/uKcMqvOVnt
— David Algonquin (@surplustakes) December 17, 2020
The Director of the CDC, Dr. Robert Redfield, intervened a couple of weeks after the meeting to recommend greater priority was given to the over-70s. Good…
But only if they live in multi-generational households. Partly because such households are more diverse. pic.twitter.com/c61gkSYp8z
— David Algonquin (@surplustakes) December 18, 2020
Lees hier alles over Corona.
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https://dissident.one/2020/12/17/corona-vaccinatiebewijs-is-een-voorbode-voor-vaccinatieplicht/